Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.192002 0.222916 0.257256 0.298243 0.345852 0.399436 0.464365
2025-04-27 0.146416 0.188373 0.239979 0.308180 0.396063 0.505674 0.653065
2025-05-04 0.122047 0.168495 0.229767 0.316635 0.436889 0.597911 0.830655
2025-05-11 0.103683 0.151591 0.218492 0.318931 0.466350 0.675542 0.996350
2025-05-18 0.088697 0.136257 0.206018 0.316066 0.485979 0.739526 1.148853
2025-05-25 0.075455 0.121131 0.191122 0.306516 0.492920 0.783850 1.275623
2025-06-01 0.068659 0.114766 0.188311 0.314589 0.527235 0.873141 1.483167
2025-06-08 0.061675 0.107001 0.182026 0.315762 0.549782 0.945293 1.670721
2025-06-15 0.056576 0.101632 0.178839 0.321382 0.579959 1.032938 1.894985
2025-06-22 0.050241 0.093235 0.169329 0.314503 0.586880 1.080330 2.052426
2025-06-29 0.045395 0.086881 0.162598 0.311630 0.600350 1.140402 2.239937
2025-07-06 0.041832 0.082460 0.158817 0.313665 0.623002 1.219617 2.473312
2025-07-13 0.040029 0.081291 0.161177 0.328149 0.672230 1.356765 2.842045
2025-07-20 0.037961 0.079354 0.161836 0.339372 0.716447 1.489621 3.220435
2025-07-27 0.035890 0.077136 0.161627 0.348689 0.757699 1.621058 3.612711
2025-08-03 0.033382 0.073677 0.158433 0.351220 0.784651 1.725397 3.959105
2025-08-10 0.030645 0.069383 0.152958 0.348062 0.798597 1.803019 4.255107
2025-08-17 0.027615 0.064069 0.144657 0.337533 0.794519 1.839885 4.461033
2025-08-24 0.026352 0.062638 0.144819 0.346434 0.836480 1.986521 4.947814
2025-08-31 0.024660 0.059998 0.141914 0.347726 0.860432 2.093683 5.351719
2025-09-07 0.023437 0.058336 0.141093 0.353922 0.897023 2.235305 5.860773
2025-09-14 0.021480 0.054642 0.135006 0.346339 0.898187 2.289814 6.151663
2025-09-21 0.019959 0.051866 0.130856 0.343171 0.910266 2.373190 6.530156